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investigate how oil price volatility behaves when the index unexpectedly changes. I find that unexpected increases in the … newspaper index are strongly associated with higher levels of oil price volatility, both realized and implied. In some cases …, interest levels and price volatility appear to be driven by the OPEC event itself, such as the Iraq invasion of Kuwait. In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011880504
This article contributes to the debate about the impact of the U.S. fracking boom on U.S. oil imports, on Arab oil exports, and on the global price of crude oil. First, I investigate the extent to which this oil boom has caused Arab oil exports to the United States to decline since late 2008....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011422578
Some observers have conjectured that the steep decline in the price of oil between June and December 2014 resulted from positive oil supply shocks in the second half of 2014. Others have suggested that a major shock to oil price expectations occurred when in late November 2014 OPEC announced...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011428356
Some observers have conjectured that oil supply shocks in the United States and in other countries are behind the plunge in the price of oil since June 2014. Others have suggested that a major shock to oil price expectations occurred when in late November 2014 OPEC announced that it would...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010470371
Petroleum Exporting Countries in the crude oil exports have single-product, in other words income from selling oil or as the most imortant source of export income, or at least as one of the most imortant sources of income is considered to be exported.The analysis and policy issues macro-economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013104330
Petroleum Exporting Countries in the crude oil exports have single-product, in other words income from selling oil or as the most important source of export income, or at least as one of the most important sources of income is considered to be exported.The analysis and policy issues...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013104639
measure of oil price uncertainty, namely an option-implied volatility, and a measure of macroeconomic uncertainty. Positive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012937163
This paper proposes a novel approach to study the macroeconomic effects of oil prices, exploiting institutional features of OPEC and high-frequency data. Using variation in futures prices around OPEC announcements as an instrument, I identify an oil supply news shock. These shocks have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012852221
I maximize present valued world GDP over the stockpile of petroleum used to contain price shocks administered by OPEC. Long run price elasticity of demand and non-OPEC supply exceed those in the short run, so OPEC profits from sudden, as opposed to gradual, increases in price. These shocks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012706810
volatility in the oil markets. But after a promising beginning many member states - economies have declined rather than prospered …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012711091