We study the effects of political uncertainty on commodity markets from both theoretical and empirical perspectives. Consistent with our theoretical predictions, commodity prices and inventories decline by 6.6% and 5.7%, respectively, and convenience yields increase by 1.9% in the quarter...

This paper examines the relationship between two Presidential elections and stock returns in Egypt. The available literature showed mixed results on the relationship between Presidential Elections and stock returns. The author examined daily data and used an OLS regression. Each Event Window...

This paper uses the event-study methodology to investigate the effect of the Presidential Turkish elections in 2023 on Borsa Istanbul returns. The data used in this study cover the period from 13 June 2022, through 7 June 2023. We employ a market model to study the effect of two election rounds...

Evidences thrive on the effects of political regimes and presidential elections on stock market returns. This paper investigates the effects of presidential elections on stock returns around the election periods at the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) market. A sample of five (5) months each for a...

This paper analyzes stock returns before and during the 2016 US presidential election. This election stands out because both nominees Clinton and Trump were frequently characterized to have very different profiles and the outcome was considered as a major surprise. We explore whether the stock...

Donald Trump's surprise election shifted expectations: corporate taxes would be lower and trade policies more restrictive. Relative stock prices responded appropriately. High-tax firms and those with large deferred tax liabilities (DTLs) gained; those with significant deferred tax assets from net...

How do market prices adjust towards stability after a shock? Tracking individual stock prices following their dramatic shakeup after Donald Trump's surprise election provides an answer. Prices moved overwhelmingly in the appropriate direction on the first post-election day, albeit much too...

We study the impact of US presidential election TV debates on intraday exchange rates of 96 currencies from 1996 to 2016. Expectations about protectionist measures are the main transmission channel of debate outcomes. Currencies of countries with high levels of bilateral foreign trade with the...