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We investigate the informational content of credit default swap (CDS) spreads for future volatility of (firm) assets … and equity. In the cross-section, CDS spreads are significantly more informative about future asset than equity volatility … fundamental difference in the cross-sectional predictability of asset and equity volatility. This difference lies in the leverage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012848868
stock return data, which includes both features and allows the co-existence of long memory in volatility and short memory in … returns. We extend this model to allow the financial parameters governing the volatility-in-mean effect and the leverage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009536502
This study uses a unique natural experiment to contribute to the long-running debate as to whether the demand curves for stocks slope downward. The U.S. Treasury sold 5.27 billion shares of Citigroup's common stock during trading hours in April 26, 2010, to December 6, 2010. Using a geometric...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115939
require to bear the risk of fluctuations in stock market volatility. We develop a model in which stock volatility and … volatility risk-premia are stochastic and derive no-arbitrage conditions linking volatility to macroeconomic factors. We estimate … realized volatility. We find that volatility risk-premia are strongly countercyclical, even more so than standard measures of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009558368
require to bear the risk of fluctuations in stock market volatility. We develop a model in which return volatility and … volatility risk-premia are stochastic and derive no-arbitrage conditions linking volatility to macroeconomic factors. We estimate … realized volatility. We find that volatility risk-premia are strongly countercyclical, even more so than standard measures of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003848514
We examine the extent to which equity market returns volatility is affected by major macroeconomic announcements in an … volatility when we decompose the volatility on a monthly, daily, and subsample period basis. Furthermore, while we find that most … domestic macroeconomic announcements impact on the volatility, contrary to the literature, we find no evidence of impact from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013043190
In a one-period economy, Martin (2017) and Chabi-Yo and Loudis (2020) derive bounds for the equity risk premium that use options of the same maturity as the horizon at which the premium is measured. In contrast, we provide an expression and an empirical methodology to measure the premium at a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013405695
volatility for a large set of US companies. It is shown that accounting for the long-run equilibrium dynamic between these …'s assets and volatility is developed. The proposed model allows to significantly reduce the pricing errors in predicting credit … when regressing a set of explanatory variables onto the spread changes. Once credit spreads, leverage and volatility are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012837053
returns and increased volatility on the UK stock market. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013428887
A small but ambitious literature uses affine arbitrage-free models to estimate jointly U.S. Treasury term premiums and the term structure of equity risk premiums. Within this approach, this paper identifies the parameter restrictions that are consistent with a simple dividend discount model,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010222892