This study uses U.S. closed-end funds to investigate whether the realized component of fair value earnings conveys information about future fund and benchmark market performance and whether the market impounds this predictive information into fund share prices. We find that the realized...

During financial crises, financial market regulators often restrict short-selling to support prices and curb volatility. However, evidence suggests that short-selling bans during the turmoil in financial markets in 2007--2009 failed to achieve regulators' goals. We analyze a model of costly...

We demonstrate how it is possible to generate value for an investor with a hedge attached to the buy-and-hold strategy of a S&P 500 index fund. We study the S&P 500 index portfolio (not including dividends) and the CRSP value weighted S&P 500 index portfolio (including dividends) for...

This paper first extends Sias (2004) to examine whether UK fund managers are engaged in herding behaviours in the stock market, their reasons for herding, whether their herding behaviours are different during bullish and bearish periods and whether or not their herding behaviours are...

In this paper, we construct a sample of news co-occurrences using big data technologies. We show that stocks that co-occur in news articles are less risky, bigger, and more covered by financial analysts, and economically-connected stocks are mentioned more often in the same news articles. We...

We extract contextualized representations of news text to predict returns using the state-of-the-art large language models in natural language processing. Unlike the traditional bag-of-words approach, the contextualized representation captures both the syntax and semantics of text, thus...

This paper is concerned with empirical and theoretical basis of the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH). The paper begins with an overview of the statistical properties of asset returns at different frequencies (daily, weekly and monthly), and considers the evidence on return predictability, risk...

This paper is concerned with empirical and theoretical basis of the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH). The paper begins with an overview of the statistical properties of asset returns at different frequencies (daily, weekly and monthly), and considers the evidence on return predictability, risk...

The paper proposes an elementary agent-based asset pricing model that, invoking the two trader types of fundamentalists and chartists, comprises four features: (i) price determination by excess demand; (ii) a herding mechanism that gives rise to a macroscopic adjustment equation for the market...