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This study examines the effect of option volume relative to stock volume (O/S) on market response to earnings surprises. The market reaction per unit of earnings surprise is lower for firms that have high O/S prior to earnings announcement than for firms with low O/S prior to earnings...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013006848
We examine when anomaly returns occur in order to understand if they exist. If anomalies are spurious, then anomaly returns should not depend on their proximity to the dates on which key anomaly information is released. Yet, they do. Using a powerful database containing the precise release date...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012853482
Using a novel dataset containing investors' access of company filings through the SEC's EDGAR system, we show that the abnormal number of IPs searching for firms' financial statements strongly predicts future stock returns and firm fundamentals. Consistent with theories of costly information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012853809
The option implied volatility spread and skew predict stock returns. These variables also reflect the expected cost of borrowing stock to sell short. The stock borrowing fee implied from options prices predicts changes in quoted borrowing fees and stock returns; however, the volatility spread...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855076
In recent years, a number of papers have established a new empirical regularity. Stocks of distressed firms vastly underperform those of financially healthy firms. It is not necessary to attribute the negative excess returns of distressed firms to inefficient or irrational markets. We show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991210
These are the presentation slides for the paper "Innovative Efficiency and Stock Returns". The abstract of the paper is the following: We find that innovative efficiency (IE), patents or citations scaled by research and development expenditures, is a strong positive predictor of future returns...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012917507
Banks with higher equity risk and faster loan growth have lower abnormal stock returns. By disentangling ex ante cost of capital from cash flow and discount rate news in bank stock returns, we show that the lower returns do not suggest lower cost of capital. The underperformance of banks with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012930035
We outline a framework in which accounting “valuation anchors" could be connected to expected stock returns. Under two general conditions, expected log returns is a log- linear function of a valuation (market value-to-accounting) multiple and the expected growth in the valuation anchor. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012511896
I set up a model in which two types of ambiguity-averse traders disagree on how to interpret a public signal. When traders first observe contradicting interpretations of the signal, they don't know whether to attribute the clash of opinions to different information processing or to information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013217512
Heston and Sadka (2008) document the return seasonality anomaly—that cross-sectional stock returns depend on their historical same calendar-month returns. We propose an information-cycle explanation for this anomaly, that firms’ seasonal information releases lead to higher returns in months...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013221779