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This paper helps to explain the dividend patterns of large corporations by presenting a dynamic model where payout …, reduce cash flows (precisely what dividends signal), leading to dividend payments that are smoothed relative to current …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013010526
A nonstationary dividend yield, having a unit root, is seen as proof of bubbles (Craine 1993). This inference is not … uniform convergence of the dividend yield series. I use this criterion to show that a random walk dividend yield must be … equilibrium dividend yield is a random walk without a deterministic trend or drift, but bubbles are still absent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013058778
We show how, in a Merton-type model with bankruptcy, the dividend policy impacts the values of equity and debt as well … restrictions on dividends and gives a useful tool to support dividend payments that may be opposed by debtholders or preclude a … credibility of the dividend policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013023988
I study a novel data set of short-term dividend futures contracts for individual stocks. I combine this data with … dividend forecasts from equity research analysts to construct a model-free measure of short-term equity risk premia. I provide … the first description of the cross-section of risk premia on short-maturity dividend claims. My data on risk premia for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013043334
the sum of the dividend yield on stocks plus some weighted average of expected future growth rates in dividends. We … construct a measure of stock yield as a model-imposed affine combination of dividend yield and an expected dividend growth proxy …-of-sample R-squared that is consistently above 2% at monthly frequency over our sample period. When both dividend yield and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013044870
The traditional dividend discount model is irrelevant for financial analysts. It requires them to forecast an infinite …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012929873
Campbell and Shiller’s “accounting identity” implies that the log dividend-price ratio (LDPR) predicts either returns … or dividend growths, but neither is significantly predictable, a well-known puzzle. Existence of the long-term mean LDPR … therefore the long-term mean does not exist. However, the identity works well in our sample. The dividend growths (but not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013223114
premium, price-dividend ratio, and aggregate dividend and consumption growth. The model-implied risk free rate and price-dividend …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013034190
In this paper, we compare the equity returns of dividend-paying and non-dividend paying firms. We find no unconditional … return difference even though non-dividend paying firms have many characteristics that suggest high risk. Equivalently …, because non-dividend paying firms have high risk-metrics, their returns are abnormally low compared with dividend-paying firms …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013035809
We study market pricing of fundamentals at the Shanghai Stock Exchange, incorporating possible irrational pricing behavior with adaptive expectation. Using panel data of listed stocks to overcome the limited information in aggregate time series data, we estimated key parameters of the price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013244571