In this work, we have found a risk model that improves the performance of Risk Targeting. Risk Targeting in portfolio construction is implemented to improve capital utilization in growing markets and systematically step away from risk scenarios. However, the performance of risk targeting varies...

We present a portfolio construction methodology for futures strategies that incorporates active trading and also borrows salient features from the risk-parity methodology. We document the evolution of expected risk and return based portfolio construction methodologies and propose a new...

Reference-day risk has been previously identified as a type of sampling variation phenomenon, and its effect on the estimation of stock returns and their volatility and market betas have been documented. Using a dataset of daily equity mutual fund returns, we extend previous studies to analyze...

We describe a method to improve credit portfolio models based on the Merton model by adding to the underlying distributions forward-looking tails deducted through the Bayesian Networks technology. Given the forward-looking stance of the approach, its results give a better quanti ed picture of...

Sophisticated algorithmic techniques are complementing human judgement across the fund industry. Whatever the type of rebalancing that occurs in the course of a longer horizon, it probably violates the buy-and-hold assumption. In this article, we develop the methodology to predict, dissect and...

[Update: Within four weeks of the original publication of this research report, Risk Magazine reported in its 28th February 2012 issue story titled 'Goodbye VaR? Basel to Consider Other Risk Metrics': "A review of trading book capital rules, due to be launched in March by the Basel Committee on...

In this paper we separate the total stock return into its continuous and jump component to test whether stock return predictability should be attributed to omitted risk factors or behavioral finance theories. We extend results from the US market to the Spanish stock market, which, despite being...

We analyze the use of alternative performance measures to rank and select assets. Previous literature centers on the effects of non-normality on rank correlations between orderings. Instead, we select the assets recommended by each performance measure (ordering) and analyze out-of-sample returns...

This paper presents a quantitative model of financial transactions between economic agents on economic space. Risk ratings of economic agents play role of their coordinates. Aggregate amounts of agent's financial variables at point x define macro financial variables as functions of time and...

This paper takes a look back at the original Credit-Informed Tactical Asset Allocation paper published in June 2011 and extends the model to address some of the weaknesses identified in the original paper