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investment-grade sub-sample, consistent with credit risk being relatively more important for understanding the yield spread-volatility … volatilities. As corporate bond prices are generally attributable to both credit risk and illiquidity as discussed in Huang and …, our credit and illiquidity proxies can explain almost three quarters of the yield spread-bond volatility relation with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011772268
To study inflation expectations and associated risk premia in emerging bond markets, this paper provides estimates for … liquidity risk. In addition to documenting the existence of large and time-varying liquidity premia in nominal and real bond … anchored close to the inflation target of the Bank of Mexico. Furthermore, Mexican inflation risk premia are larger and more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012498145
I provide evidence that risks in macroeconomic fundamentals contain valuable information about bond risk premia. I … extract factors from a set of quantile-based risk measures estimated for US macroeconomic variables and document that they … unemployment rate. In addition, factors provide information about bond risk premia variation that is largely unrelated to that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010478516
In this paper, we empirically explore risk premia in mortgage covered bond markets. Using a large panel data set of … of high importance for explaining risk premia in covered bond markets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013091794
We propose a news-implied rare disaster risk indicator and study its predictive power on the returns of U.S. Treasury … not spanned by the current yield curve. The disaster risk factor delivers a counter cycle bond risk premium, and the … predictability of disaster risk is more significant during periods of economic downturn. Our empirical findings show that disaster …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012860176
Using a 2009-2019 sample of Chinese bond issuers, we examine the effect of carbon risk on bond financing costs …. Relative to low carbon risk issuers, high carbon risk issuers have substantially larger bond credit spreads, mainly because … their credit risk is greater and they invest the funds in non-green projects. This positive relationship is more pronounced …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013269687
risk factors. Risk factor correlation increases when investor sentiment worsens. This suggests that corporate bond … investors change their perception of risk factors, which results in higher risk factor correlation and finally higher bond …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009777926
After the Lehman-Brothers collapse, the stock index has exceeded its pre-Lehman-Brothers peak by 36% in real terms. Seemingly, markets have been demanding more stocks instead of bonds. Yet, instead of observing higher bond rates, paradoxically, bond rates have been persistently negative after...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011760864
bond markets and the US stock market. We measure risk by the higher order moments (volatility, skewness, and excess … relationship between returns and risk. When we consider the effects of good and bad volatility separately, the risk-return trade …We analyze the risk-return trade-off for international (France, Germany, Netherlands, Spain, UK, and US) government …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014238947
Using political turnovers in mayoral appointments at the prefecture-city level in China, we show that investors incorporate rising local political uncertainty into bond pricing and relocate capital from municipal corporate bonds and privately issued bonds toward bonds issued by centrally...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013309717