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We find that financial analysts provide more thorough forecasts when firms’ institutional investors are distracted (i.e., when firms are neglected). We establish the causality of the effect by identifying exogenous shocks leading to institutional investor distraction following Kempf, Manconi,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013404199
This study presents direct evidence on the question whether investors recognize the widely documented biases in securities analysts' earnings forecasts. The internal rate of return implied by current stock price and consensus earnings forecasts is found to be correlated with indicators of bias...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012862149
' earnings forecasts. We show that measures of prior consensus and individual analyst forecast pessimism are predictive of both … with a relatively high probability of forecast pessimism experience significantly higher announcement returns than those … difficulty investors have in identifying differences in expected forecast pessimism. Overall, we conclude that market prices do …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012937538
We test the implications of anchoring bias associated with forecast earnings per share (FEPS) for forecast errors … more positive forecast revisions, more negative forecast errors, and more negative earnings surprises after a stock split …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092369
analyst forecasts. We focus on rounding as arguably the most salient forecast feature. We find that while rounding is only … marginally associated with forecast accuracy, investors attribute to it undue significance. Investors view rounding as distinctly … informative to other analyst characteristics that determine forecast accuracy and the likelihood of rounding. Unlike previous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013058142
We examine article, author and firm characteristics of investment articles published by non-professional analysts on the social media investment platform Seeking Alpha from 2006 to 2020 leading to visible market value changes. We show that there are differences between articles followed by stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013290160
Financial analysts are important players in the marketplace. Analysts' reports, which include forecasts of earnings and stock recommendations, move market prices. Investors, both large and small, rely on the information in reports when forming their investment decisions. Given the relevance of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012955006
paper is to investigate whether following the Tunisian stock market opening, both the analyst forecast accuracy and the … increasing with time. Second, we find evidence that earnings expectations are not mainly based on analyst forecast in the first … (2010–2015) as analyst forecast better explain returns and exhibit greater relative information content. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011882305
Measuring the information environment of firms using analyst (price) forecast bias and forecast dispersion before … initial returns of initial public offerings (IPOs). We find the smaller the analyst forecast bias/dispersion, the lower the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011844492
This paper is an empirical investigation of the relation between the dispersion on analysts' earnings forecasts and the future performance following a change in the nominal price of shares. On a sample of US splits occurred from 1993 to 2013, we observe a change in the distribution of analysts'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013004989