This paper investigates banking and sovereign distress in the Eurozone and the importance of direct and indirect financial exposures. We use BIS cross-border banking claims to link member states in a GVAR framework and jointly model sectoral CDS premia. Based on balance sheet positions of an...

We use learning in an equilibrium model to explain the puzzling predictive power of the volatility risk premium (VRP) for option returns. In the model, a representative agent follows a rational Bayesian learning process in an economy under incomplete information with the objective of pricing...

We use a 3-factor Regime Switching Threshold model to study common factors in the excess returns of 18 European corporate bond indices during 2000-2014. Our results document significant time variation of the common factors across bond indices for different maturities, ratings and industries. The...