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Earnings expectation aggregates all available information. However, investors with limited attention are unlikely to behave in such rational fashions. For example, salient information is overweighed in the expectation. This bias could be exploited by sophisticated market participants like...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012897596
future forecast accuracy. Our findings suggest that, while these regulatory changes effectively reduce analysts' optimistic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013005326
is mainly strategic or whether it also contains an element of cognitive bias. Despite the fact that forecast errors lack …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013045970
expected in stock prices and actual forecast errors are limited to certain cases. Aanalysts expedite the propagation of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012940430
' earnings forecasts. We show that measures of prior consensus and individual analyst forecast pessimism are predictive of both … with a relatively high probability of forecast pessimism experience significantly higher announcement returns than those … difficulty investors have in identifying differences in expected forecast pessimism. Overall, we conclude that market prices do …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012937538
associated with the previous time periods information demand. However, the magnitude of the contemporaneous positive association …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012860036
individual analysts' forecasts. Using forecast accuracy improvements, forecast boldness, and the price impact of forecasts as … measures of forecast quality, we find that in the information discovery phase that precedes an earnings announcement event …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012905635
We develop market timing strategies and trading systems to test the intraday predictive power of Japanese candlesticks at the 5-minute interval on the 30 constituents of the DJIA index. Out of 83 Japanese candlestick rules, around a third outperforms the buy-and-hold strategy at the conservative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013008019
inflation) account for 80% of short-rate forecast error variance, with more than half of that number attributed to the Fed … easing more aggressively than the public expected. Short-rate forecast errors induce ex post predictability of excess returns … on Treasury bonds that is not due to time-varying risk premium …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938527
We find that individual investors who use technical analysis and trade options frequently make poor portfolio decisions, resulting in dramatically lower returns than other investors. The data on which this claim is based consists of transaction records and matched survey responses of a sample of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013034117