In this paper, we consider conditional measures of lead-lag relationships between aggregate growth and industry-level cash-flow growth in the US. Our results show that firms in leading industries pay an average annualized return 3.6% higher than that of firms in lagging industries. Using both...

Tightening of regulation in the banking sector following the Financial Crisis of 2007-2008 has contributed to a surge of direct lenders and, in particular, business development companies (BDCs). We hand-collect a novel investment-level dataset to provide the first systematic analysis of the BDC...

In this paper, we compute conditional measures of lead-lag relationships between GDP growth and industry-level cash-flow growth in the US. Our results show that firms in leading industries pay an average annualized return 4\% higher than that of firms in lagging industries. Using both time...

In this paper, we compute conditional measures of lead-lag relationships between GDP growth and industry-level cash-flow growth in the US. Our results show that firms in leading industries pay an average annualized return 4% higher than that of firms in lagging industries. Using both time series...

The 2006 change in the disclosure requirements for "Acquired Fund Fees and Expenses" (AFFE) led to the exclusion of business development companies (BDCs) from major stock indexes in 2014, constituting a contractionary shock to the flow of equity capital into publicly traded BDCs. In a...

In this paper, we compute conditional measures of lead-lag relationships between GDP growth and industry-level cash-flow growth in the US. Our results show that firms in leading industries pay an average annualized return 4% higher than that of firms in lagging industries. Using both time series...