Brady, Michael Emmett; Arthmar, Rogério - In: History of Economic Ideas 20 (2012) 3, pp. 65-84
This paper provides evidence on how Keynes devised a mathematical framework for his system of probability, which he called «approximation», in A Treatise on Probability, 1921. Keynes used standard conditional, mathematical probability to duplicate Boole’s results in the Challenge problem. He...