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In this paper we show that both climate models and economic models studying the effects of climate change are characterized by high uncertainty. Hence, far reaching policy implications such as the net zero goal lack a definite scientific foundation. Neverthelss, it cannot be excluded that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015053416
from climate change to damages is subject to uncertainty, as opposed to risk, and we use robust control to study efficiency …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011800911
al., 2012). Using real options theory, both studies conclude that climate policy adoption should be accelerated. However …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013087101
. Finally, the mere risk of a cap on global warming being enforced at some unknown, future date makes fossil fuel extraction …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011774930
The tractable general equilibrium model developed by Golosov et al. (2014), GHKT for short, is modified to allow for stock-dependent fossil fuel extraction costs and partial exhaustion of fossil fuel reserves, a negative impact of global warming on growth, mean reversion in climate damages,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012996198
Uncertainty is critical to questions about climate change policy. Recently developed recursive integrated assessment models have become the primary tools for studying and quantifying the policy implications of uncertainty. We decompose the channels through which uncertainty affects policy and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012967621
composition of the optimal mix as both persuade the risk-averse social planner to invest more in mitigation. Overall, we identify …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011451547
of climate risk that is significantly amplified and increasing in magnitude as climate change increases due to aversion …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014255764
We use perturbation methods to derive a rule for the optimal risk-adjusted social cost of carbon (SCC) that … different aversions to risk and intertemporal fluctuations, convex damages, uncertainties in economic growth, atmospheric carbon …-run climate feedbacks. Our non-certainty-equivalent rule for the SCC incorporates precaution, risk insurance, and climate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011996310
. Uncertainty about the future rate of growth of the economy and emissions and the risk of macroeconomic disasters (tail risks) also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012249287