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This paper analyzes dynamic equilibrium risk sharing contracts between profit-maximizing intermediaries and a large …, even though a risk allocation superior to autarky can be achieved. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010319185
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010319188
Traditionally volatility is viewed as a measure of variability, or risk, of an underlying asset. However recently …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010319195
. The spatial derivative price distribution involves a risk premium. We examine functional principal components of … temperature variation for this spatial risk premium. We employ a pricing model for temperature derivatives based on dynamics … modelled via a vectorial Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with seasonal variation. We use an analytical expression for the risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010319196
We propose a local adaptive multiplicative error model (MEM) accommodating timevarying parameters. MEM parameters are adaptively estimated based on a sequential testing procedure. A data-driven optimal length of local windows is selected, yielding adaptive forecasts at each point in time....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010330969
Imposing the natural rate hypothesis (NRH) can dramatically alter the determinacy bounds on monetary policy by closing the output gap in the long run. I show that the hypothesis eliminates any role for the output gap in determinacy and renders the conditions for determinacy identical for all...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010333041
Quantal Response Equilibrium presents a stochastic theory of games that unites probabilistic choice models developed in … psychology and statistics with the Nash equilibrium approach of classical game theory. Nash equilibrium assumes precise and … is not perfectly predictable. In contrast, QRE models choice behavior as probabilistic and extends classical game theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014482331
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014317273