Showing 21 - 30 of 917,396
link between monetary policy rate uncertainty and equity return volatility, both in theory and data. This paper uses … for equity variance and volatility at weekly, monthly and even quarterly horizons. The findings imply that market views of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012925787
We develop a discrete-time affine stochastic volatility model with time-varying conditional skewness (SVS). Importantly …, we disentangle the dynamics of conditional volatility and conditional skewness in a coherent way. Our approach allows … autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH), and stochastic volatility with jumps (SVJ) models. Our results are not due to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014047692
The volatility of equity and foreign exchange market is an important input to portfolio selection and to asset pricing … models. Many investment decisions and valuation of derivatives frequently rely on predictions of volatility. In this paper we … review the existing empirical literature in forecasting volatility of financial time series. Particularly, we decompose the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013122403
The paper outlines and tests, by means of Monte-Carlo simulations, a simple strategy of using existing non-parametric tests for jumps at the daily frequency to identify jumps at higher sampling frequencies. The suggested strategy allow for identification of the number of jumps and jump times...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013124973
addition, our model suggests that optimal monetary policy is not concerned with stock price volatility, does not attempt to …, producing lower inflation volatility when compared to the constant money supply policy rule …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013091822
volatility and shocks the cross-section of stock returns. Due to agent's asymmetric aversion, financial stress affords positive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013235055
for identifying intraday volatility jumps in the diffusive covariance matrix of asset pairs. Our method avoids model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013306579
We investigate the sources of time-variation in the stock-oil correlation over the period 1986-2018. We first derive an oil futures return news decomposition following Campbell and Shiller (1988) and Campbell (1991). Then, for both stock and oil, we split unexpected returns into cash-flow news...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012826383
This paper investigates persistence in high-frequency, intraday data (and also daily and monthly ones) in the case of the EuroStoxx 50 futures over the period from 2002 to 2018 (720 million trade records) using R/S analysis and the Hurst exponent as a measure of persistence. The results indicate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014242794
structural stochastic volatility, which derives from different noise levels in the demand of fundamentalists and chartists and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009007642