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premium, price-dividend ratio, and aggregate dividend and consumption growth. The model-implied risk free rate and price-dividend …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013034190
We analyze optimal monetary policy and its implications for asset prices, when aggregate demand has inertia and responds to asset prices with a lag. If there is a negative output gap, the central bank optimally overshoots aggregate asset prices (asset prices are initially pushed above their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013093040
Several papers decompose stock returns into cash flow and discount rate news to study equity market fluctuations. This paper develops and explores an alternative decomposition for stock returns based on the idea that equity volatility must come from variation in the present value of short- and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012848221
markups such as 60 percent dividends become procyclical, the price-dividend ratio countercyclical, and the equity risk premia …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014254655
This paper proposes an equilibrium model for evaluating equity with optimal dividend policy in a jump-diffusion market … dividend policy. Numerical examples show that the aggregate consumption process and the investor's risk aversion have a … significant impact on the equity price and the dividend policy. This model provides a structural explanation of equity risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012971440
the impacts of dividend fluctuations and the risk aversion of the investor to the market equilibrium. It is shown that … dividend processes generate Jensen's alpha that can be interpreted as the small cap premium …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013005749
. The ability to explain the dividend strips puzzle, the term structure of interest rates and the predictive behavior of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010256362
on the state of the economy. For recessions the results are clear-cut. Dividend yields vary entirely due to return … predictability. However, in expansions, the "dog that did not bark" effect is present with respect to both return and dividend growth … predictability. Dividend yields vary much less during stable periods of economic booms and returns and dividend growth seem only …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013034972
redistribute to investors. How do the funds manage these dividend flows, and does such management have spillover effects on other … financial markets? In this paper, we document a new stylized fact of the "ETF dividend cycle:" ETFs gradually invest in money … market funds (MMFs) when they accumulate dividend receipts and periodically withdraw from MMFs when they distribute dividends …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014254393
tradeoff between market and reinvestment risk explains this pattern. Intuitively, while long-term dividend claims are highly … exposed to market risk, they are also good hedges for reinvestment risk because dividend prices rise as expected returns … long maturities, inducing relatively low risk premia on long-term dividend claims. The model is also consistent with the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011963382