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tradeoff between market and reinvestment risk explains this pattern. Intuitively, while long-term dividend claims are highly … exposed to market risk, they are also good hedges for reinvestment risk because dividend prices rise as expected returns … long maturities, inducing relatively low risk premia on long-term dividend claims. The model is also consistent with the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011963382
premium, price-dividend ratio, and aggregate dividend and consumption growth. The model-implied risk free rate and price-dividend …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013034190
. The ability to explain the dividend strips puzzle, the term structure of interest rates and the predictive behavior of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010256362
We analyze optimal monetary policy and its implications for asset prices, when aggregate demand has inertia and responds to asset prices with a lag. If there is a negative output gap, the central bank optimally overshoots aggregate asset prices (asset prices are initially pushed above their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013093040
I first show that taking moving averages of the term spread, the dividend yield, and the Shiller’s CAPE, significantly … cycle. Dividend yield, CAPE and term spread are all measures of value in the financial market, all of which forecast future …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013245419
This paper proposes an equilibrium model for evaluating equity with optimal dividend policy in a jump-diffusion market … dividend policy. Numerical examples show that the aggregate consumption process and the investor's risk aversion have a … significant impact on the equity price and the dividend policy. This model provides a structural explanation of equity risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012971440
the impacts of dividend fluctuations and the risk aversion of the investor to the market equilibrium. It is shown that … dividend processes generate Jensen's alpha that can be interpreted as the small cap premium …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013005749
on the state of the economy. For recessions the results are clear-cut. Dividend yields vary entirely due to return … predictability. However, in expansions, the "dog that did not bark" effect is present with respect to both return and dividend growth … predictability. Dividend yields vary much less during stable periods of economic booms and returns and dividend growth seem only …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013034972
redistribute to investors. How do the funds manage these dividend flows, and does such management have spillover effects on other … financial markets? In this paper, we document a new stylized fact of the "ETF dividend cycle:" ETFs gradually invest in money … market funds (MMFs) when they accumulate dividend receipts and periodically withdraw from MMFs when they distribute dividends …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014254393
of the classical log dividend–price ratio, we allow the data to reveal the cointegration vector between d and p. We … define the modified dividend–price ratio (mdp), as the long run trend deviation between d and p. Using S&P 500 data for the … correlation with the risk free return component, and can discern if a low dividend state coincides with a low yield state …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012905483