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boom yields consistently positive excess returns. This excess return compensates for the risk of high negative returns in … countries on risk aversion, and low (high) risk aversion currencies depreciate (appreciate) in times of global turmoil. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009752999
should not. A risk premia story might justify the high returns to the carry trades. In this paper we study the relationship … risk factors. Asset pricing theory applies to the currency market: those currencies that have larger loading on risk …, especially crash risk, offer a larger mean return in compensation. Especially, we show that crash risk as measured by quantile …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013105027
Dollar carry trade risk premiums – unlike dollar-neutral or foreign exchange carry risk premiums – are positively … the entire premium, based on these proxies for the latent risk and price of risk states in the U.S. (and its business …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013242629
Dollar carry trade risk premiums - unlike dollar-neutral or foreign exchange carry risk premiums - are positively … (typically based on untestable claims) in which the variables above are proxies for the latent (quantity of) risk and price of … risk states - and the business cycle - in the U.S. explains the results in the present paper. However, I avoid making this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013242806
world. We show that even in this market exposure to liquidity risk commands a non-trivial risk premium of up to 3.6% per … annum. In particular, systematic and currency-specific liquidity risk are not subsumed by existing risk factors and … significantly correlated. This lends support to a liquidity-based explanation of the carry trade risk premium. To illustrate this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013252868
I investigate the relationship between carry trades and tail risk for a panel of commodity futures contracts. Unlike … significant effect on tail risk mostly in the short term and for the front end of the futures curve. In addition, the empirical … speculators and insurance providers are subject to limited risk capacity and financing liquidity constraints …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012932877
We use a standard consumption-based asset pricing model incorporating conditioning information to explain the risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120594
We use a standard consumption-based asset pricing model incorporating conditioning information to explain the risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013101597
negative skewness risk. Additionally, factor risks that affect foreign money changes, foreign inflation changes, as well as … changes to a newly developed Carry Trade Activity Index and the VIX index, as a proxy for global risk aversion, make up the … carry trade risk anatomy. These findings are not exclusively important for carry traders, but also contribute to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012992882
This study exploits a new long-run data set of daily bid and offered exchange rates in spot and forward markets from 1919 to the present to analyze carry returns in fixed and floating currency regimes. We first find that outsized carry returns occur exclusively in the floating regime, being zero...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012900553