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This research explored the effects of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak on stock price movements of China’s tourism industry by using an event study method. The results showed that the crisis negatively impacted tourism sector stocks. Further quantile regression analyses supported...
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This paper investigates the effects of oil price shocks and policy uncertainty on the stock returns of clean energy companies. We use a structural vector autoregressive (VAR) model to separate demand and supply shocks in the global crude oil market from 2001 to 2018. We find that oil supply...
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Until a few months ago, the stock market narrative in the United States could have been summarized by the popular acronym BTFD – or "buy the fucking dip". Analysts and strategists, emboldened by the world's synchronized recovery, Trump's pro-business policies and ample liquidity, predicted...
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We empirically evaluate the predictive power of money growth measured by M2 for stock returns of the S&P 500 index. We use monthly US data and predict multiperiod returns over 1, 3, and 5 years with long-horizon regressions. In-sample regressions show that money growth is useful for predicting...
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