Negative demand dynamics registered in early 2019 has not so far told on the output, estimates of finished products stocks and industrial enterprises forecasts. The industrial sector preserves optimism of expectations regarding demand, output and employment. However, the investment plans began...

2018 was a tough year for the Russian industry, according to surveys. On the one hand, there were no visible crisis-related changes, but on the other hand, positive trends of 2017 slowed in 2018, affecting industrial enterprises' assessments of the situation in the industry. The pace of recovery...

In the course of monthly surveys which have been carried out by the Institute for Economic Policy since 1992, Russian industrial enterprises are asked to identify factors which curb output growth. Insufficient domestic demand has been a major problem for the industry since the period of the...

In Q2 2018, the Russian industrial sector managed to recover to a normal state of operation from the failed start early this year. The percentage of enterprises assessing their state as “normal standing” neared an all-time high by mid-2018 (77% compared to 78% in H2 2017)

This paper has been prepared on the results of business surveys of industrial enterprises which have been conducted by the Gaidar Institute using a European harmonized method in monthly cycles since September 1992, covering the entire territory of the Russian Federation. The panel size is around...

In Q2 2018, the situation in Russian industry did not undergo any significant changes. Most of Russian enterprises continued to register persistently low demand, which enabled them to confidently control their finished product stocks and maintain their output growth rate at minimum. In Q2 2018,...

Some new features have been added to Russia's import substitution policy. Minpromtorg (Russia's Ministry of Industry and Trade) in April compiled a comprehensive list of foreign-made machinery, equipment and materials which state-owned companies will not be permitted (from 1st of July) to...

In Q1 2018 Industry Adaptability Index notably fell (Fig. 1) – just 74% of enterprises have assessed their main indicators as “normal”. Such negative change in consolidated indicators has not been registered since the crisis of 2009, when Index fell by 10 points. Note, that in Q1 2015...

In the first months of 2019, Russian industry preserved output growth amid the recovery of the sales upward dynamics and around zero balance estimates of finished goods inventory. Nearly half of enterprises consider insufficient demand a major setback for significant output growth. Nevertheless,...

Russian Abstract: Несмотря на почти двукратное падение цен на нефть, торговое сальдо в I кв. сократилось не так сильно, как это случилось, например, в начале 2009 г. Масштабы...