This study empirically examine the impact of market conditions on credit spreads as motivated by recently developed structural credit risk models. Using credit default swap (CDS) spreads, we find that, in the time series, average credit spreads are decreasing in GDP growth rate, but increasing...

In the large context of valuation adjustments, collectively referred to as “XVA”, we treat replication strategies as a unique way to calculate fair price equations. We consider different replication strategies (Piterbarg, Burgard-Kjaer and our contribution) and identify the valuation...

We provide explicit solutions of certain forward-backward stochastic differential equations (FBSDEs) with quadratic growth. These particular FBSDEs are associated with quadratic term structure models of interest rates and characterize the zero-coupon bond price. The results of this paper are...

In this paper we examine the cost of using recalibrated single-factor models to determine the exercise strategy for Bermudan swaptions in a multi-factor world. We demonstrate that single-factor exercise strategies applied in a multi-factor world only give rise to economically insignificant...

The uncertainty around future changes to the Federal Reserve target rate varies over time. In our results, the main driver of uncertainty is a ``path'' factor signaling information about future policy actions, which is filtered from federal funds futures data. The uncertainty is lowest when the...

We revisit the problem of pricing and hedging plain vanilla single-currency interest rate derivatives using multiple distinct yield curves for market coherent estimation of discount factors and forward rates with different underlying rate tenors.Within such double-curve-single-currency...

I show that an important no-arbitrage consistent but costly collateral rental yield contributes to about two-thirds of the standard CIP violations. I measure this yield using two approaches applied to short- and long-term CIP horizons. First, I assume that the yield is observable and proxy it...

We document the rise and fall of an arbitrage trade among hedge funds known as the Treasury cash-futures basis trade. This trade exploited a fundamental disconnect between cash and futures prices of Treasuries. We show that in recent years a replicating portfolio of Treasury bills and futures...

This paper documents vanilla interest-rate options (caps, floors and swaptions) newly introduced in China. The underlying rates are the RMB loan prime rates (LPRs), the foremost interest rates that matter to almost all businesses and households in China. They are digital with a tick size of five...

We develop a general class of multi-curve potential models for post-crisis interest rates. Our model features positive stochastic basis spreads, positive term structures, and analytic pricing formulae for interest rate derivatives. Making a quanto interpretation of LIBOR lending transactions, we...