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Prices of riskfree bonds in any arbitrage-free environment are governed by a pricing kernel: given a kernel, we can compute prices of bonds of any maturity we like. We use observed prices of multi-period bonds to estimate, in a log- linear theoretical setting, the pricing kernel that gave rise...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012775409
We estimate a three-factor model to fit both the time-series dynamics and cross-sectional shapes of the U.S. term structure. In the model, three unobserved factors drive a discrete-time stochastic discount process, with one factor reverting to a fixed mean and a second factor reverting to a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012779078
Existing studies of the term structure of interest rates often use spot Treasury rates to represent default-free interest rates. However, part of the premium in Treasury rates is compensation for the risk that short-sellers may default. Since Treasury bill futures are default-free they provide...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012784453
Key structures for insurance risk transfer to capital markets are insurance-linked securities issued by industrial corporations and insurance-reinsurance companies. This paper develops an arbitrage approach to valuing these structured products for non-catastrophic events in a framework of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012787268
We empirically compare Libor and Swap Market Models for the pricing of interest rate derivatives, using panel data on prices of US caplets and swaptions. A Libor Market Model can directly be calibrated to observed prices of caplets, whereas a Swap Market Model is calibrated to a certain set of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012787444
In this paper, we present a novel multi-factor non-exploding bushy tree technique capable of efficiently solving non-Markovian diffusion processes with multiple state variables, such as the general full yield curve interest rate models. A non-exploding bushy tree essentially is a sub-sampling of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012788081
This paper offers a new class of models for the term structure of forward interest rates. We allow each instantaneous forward rate to be driven by a different stochastic shock, but constrain the shocks so that the forward rate curve is kept continuous. We term the shocks to the forward curve...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012788130
We consider a diffusion type model for the short rate, where the drift and diffusion parameters are modulated by an underlying Markov process. The underlying Markov process is assumed to have a stochastic differential driven by Wiener processes and a marked point process. The model for the short...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012788576
This paper proposes a two-factor hazard rate model, in closed form, to price risky debt. The likelihood of default is captured by the firm's non-interest sensitive assets and default-free interest rates. The distinguishing features of the model are threefold. First, the impact of capital...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012788865
Hedging a derivative security with non-risk-neutral number of shares leads to portfolio profit or loss. Unlike in the Black-Scholes world, the net present value of all future cash flows till maturity is no longer deterministic, and basis risk may be present at any time. The key object of our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012788975