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The no-arbitrage affine Gaussian term structure model is used for analyzing the impact of macroeconomic surprises on the nominal and the real term structure, in the euro area and in the United States. We find that nominal rates are impacted by surprises on economic growth, labour market and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013101561
We examine term structure theories by using a novel approach. We form bond investment strategies based on different theories of the term structure in order to determine which strategy performs best. When using a manipulation-proof performance measure, we find that consistent with prior...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013101774
The volatile and relatively low interest rates in the market lately challenge the nominal funding ratio of pension funds. To alleviate the problem, the Dutch central bank will likely replace the discounting yield curve for the liability valuation, from the DNB RTS curve (a complete use of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102324
This article derives a new formula for the yield elasticity of bond price. The formula provides accurate results without resorting to complex mathematics, and gives new meaning to the concept of duration in fixed-income analysis
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102575
Pricing bonds is generally one of the earliest applications of time value of money in a finance curriculum. A bond price incorporates the use of an annuity and an individual discounted cash flow while also being a “fundamental” financial security. This paper works through the pedagogy of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013104140
This paper quantifies liquidity and credit premia in German and French government bond yields. For this purpose, we estimate term structures of government-guaranteed agency bonds and exploit the fact that any difference in their yields vis-`a-vis government bonds can be attributed to differences...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013106056
We adopt a statistical approach to identify the shocks that explain most of the fluctuations of the slope of the term structure of interest rates. We find that one single shock can explain the majority of all unpredictable movements in the slope over a 10-year forecast horizon. Impulse response...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013107838
This paper explores the term structure of interest rates implied by a stochastic endogenous growth model with imperfect price adjustment. The production and price-setting decisions of firms drive low-frequency movements in growth and inflation rates that are negatively related. With recursive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082851
This paper presents an analytic approximation formula for pricing zero-coupon bonds, when the dynamics of the short-term interest rate are driven by a one-factor mean-reverting process in which changes in the volatility of the interest rate are a function of the level of the interest rate
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013084098
After the credit and liquidity crisis started in summer 2007 the market has recognized that multiple yield curves are required for estimation of both discount and FRA rates with dfferent tenors (e.g. Overnight, Libor 3 months, etc.), consistently with the large basis spreads and the wide...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086652