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We merge the literature on downside return risk and liquidity risk and introduce the concept of extreme downside … same time when the market liquidity (return) is lowest. This effect is not driven by linear or downside liquidity risk or … extreme downside return risk and is mainly driven by more recent years. There is no premium for stocks whose liquidity is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012175486
This paper investigates whether analysts' optimism affects the stock crash risk. Analysts' optimism can increase stock … crash risk either by inducing overvaluation or by providing managers an opportunity to withhold bad news. Using analysts … stock crash risk. Further, such a positive impact is more pronounced for firms with opaque information environment and for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012858942
This paper implements a novel model-free methodology to measure skewness risk premia in individual stocks. The … skewness risk premium in individual stocks. The risk premium massively increased after the 2008/2009 financial crisis due to an … increase in the price of put options in individual stocks. Part of this skewness risk premium is idiosyncratic. Frictions on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011899675
empirical evidence is consistent with investors’ attitudes toward uncertainty and risk, firms’ fundamentals and leverage effects …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012887264
In this study, I develop a novel methodology to extract crash risk premia from options and stock markets. I document a … dramatic increase in crash risk premia after the 2008/2009 nancial crisis, indicating that investors are willing to pay high … financial and industrial sectors. At the same time, crash risk premia on the market index remained at pre-crisis levels. I …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012967614
We document strong abnormal effects due to U.S. landfall hurricanes over the period 1990 to 2017 on stock returns and illiquidity across portfolios of stocks sorted by market equity (ME), book-to-market equity ratio (BE/ME), momentum, return-on-equity (ROE), and investment-to-assets (I/A). ROE-...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012909024
This paper contains comments on Nonparametric Tail Risk, Stock Returns and the Macroeconomy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011518800
We investigate the impact of China's economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on the time series variation of Chinese stock market expected returns. Using the news based measure in Baker, Bloom, and Davis (2016), we find that EPU predicts negatively future stock market return at various horizons. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968808
This paper addresses this question with an asset-pricing model featuring endogenous corporate policies. Long-run risk … reflects a firm's profit exposure to slowly-moving expected consumption growth, whereas short-run risk captures the exposure to … frequent unexpected changes in consumption growth. Long-run risk reduces a firm's optimal leverage while driving most of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012852955
This paper introduces a new tail risk measure based on the risk-neutral excess expected shortfall of a cross-section of … stock returns. We propose a novel way to risk neutralize the returns without relying on option price information …. Empirically, we illustrate our methodology by estimating a tail risk measure over a long historical period based on a set of size …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012993993