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We propose a new measure of time-varying tail risk that is directly estimable from the cross section of returns. We … exploit firm-level price crashes every month to identify common fluctuations in tail risk across stocks. Our tail measure is … significantly correlated with tail risk measures extracted from S&P 500 index options, but is available for a longer sample since it …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013063059
-series behavior of the premium for the risk of changes in asset correlations (the premium for correlation risk), including its inverse …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012421289
We examine the pricing of tail risk in international stock markets. We find that the tail risk of different countries … mainly driven by global tail risk rather than local tail risk. World fear is also priced in the crosssection of stock returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011751251
We present a novel methodology to calculate the jump-induced tail risk premium for individual stocks and examine its … effect on the following-month’s returns. The existence of a premium for bearing negative jump-induced tail risk is …-induced tail risk has no such significant predictive power. Further, we find that the larger is the magnitude of the premium for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014236142
We combine high-frequency stock returns with risk-neutralization to extract the daily common component of tail risks … perceived by investors in the cross-section of firms. We find that our tail risk measure significantly predicts the equity … premium, variance risk premium and realized moments of market returns at short-horizons. Furthermore, a long-short portfolio …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014239649
The paper investigates the effect of monetary policy uncertainty on stock market volatility. Higher monetary uncertainty leads to lower stock market volatility both in sample and out of sample. Monetary policy uncertainty matters more for the volatility of big firms, profitable firms and past...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013307935
In this study, we apply a rolling window approach to wavelet-filtered (denoised) S&P500 returns (2000–2020) to obtain time varying Hurst exponents. We analyse the dynamics of the Hurst exponents by applying statistical tests (e.g., for stationarity, Gaussianity and self-similarity), a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013229642
-asset classes and factors and test the long-term performance of U.S. and Global 60/40, Diversified Multi-Asset, Risk Parity … measured risk-adjusted returns in the long run, the Dynamic Asset Allocation reduces the abandonment risk due to its lower … expected drawdown. Across all strategies, risk-tolerant investors that rely on the longer history for setting their …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014255069
When a stock market crash is defined as the period from an index's prior peak until its recovery, crashes demonstrate empirical regularities in their scale and timing. For instance, measures of the duration, maximum decline, and lost value of crashes are very highly correlated. These...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012824930
This paper proposes a risk-based explanation of the momentum anomaly on equity markets. Regressing the momentum ….84%. We find additional supportive out-of sample evidence for our risk-based momentum explanation in a sample of 23 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011906204