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The paper examines three aspects of a financial crisis of domestic origin. The first section studies the evolution of a debt-financed consumption boom supported by rising asset prices, leading to a credit crunch and fluctuations in the real economy, and, ultimately, to debt deflation. The next...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013143561
This paper proposes a new double-question survey method that elicits information about how individuals subjective belief valuations are compared and related to their price expectations. An individual respondent is presented with two sets of questions, one that asks about his/her belief regarding...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963776
extreme market events, such as bubbles and crashes. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013169713
We study the effect of ambiguity on the formation of bubbles and on the occurrence of crashes in experimental asset … is risky although bubbles form in both the ambiguous and the risky environments. Additionally, bubbles do not crash in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012909268
This paper proposes a new double-question survey method that elicits information about how individuals' subjective belief valuations are compared and related to their price expectations. An individual respondent is presented with two sets of questions, one that asks about his/her belief...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012978031
This paper argues that short selling might give rise to bubbles that would otherwise not exist in equilibrium. It is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013238298
investor education, understanding asset bubbles, policy makers, financial services marketing, investment management, portfolio …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013055949
asset pricing in line with rational bubbles. We show that the response of the excessive stock price component to a monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011526074
provide an early warning identification of bubbles. Estimating the FTS-GARCH on well-known historical bubble episodes suggest … the possibility to diagnose in real-time the presence of bubbles in financial time series. Minskian dynamics ; financial … bubbles ; positive feedback ; financial accelerator ; generalized FTS-GARCH …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009561751
consists of tests for financial bubbles, while the second set consists of the log-periodic power law (LPPL) model for negative … financial bubbles. Despite the methodological differences between these detection methods, they provided the same outcome: the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012988565