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We find no evidence of monthly return reversals for the top quintile of small- and large-cap stocks ranked by turnover. Indeed, stocks in the top decile of turnover display short-term momentum. We argue these findings arise from a combination of effects. First, short-term reversals stem from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012849583
An accurate forecast of intraday volume is a key aspect of algorithmic trading. This manuscript proposes a state-space model to forecast intraday trading volume via the Kalman filter and derives closed-form expectation-maximization (EM) solutions for model calibration. The model is extended to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012930388
are positively related to one-period lagged transitory volatility and negatively related to informational volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013113239
crises, liquidity variables have a negative influence on the volatility, in contrast to the time period after the outbrake of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011578147
and volatility. The findings do not support the hypothesis that the introduction of futures markets significantly impacts … positive feedback trading and volatility dynamics of underlying stocks. The results are consistent with some of the earlier …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012853555
, our paper investigates the determinants of trading activity on the Eurex derivative exchange and looks beyond systematic … characterized by low institutional ownership and high volume and volatility on the spot market. The mispricing between the spot and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012906136
return, such as volatility or skewness, and exploits her private information by trading a complete menu of options. The … exploit higher order moment information, such as the volatility straddle …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012271186
This paper introduces a new model-free approach to measuring the expectation of market variance using VIX derivatives. This approach shows that VIX derivatives carry different information about future variance than S&P 500 (SPX) options, especially during the 2008 financial crisis. I find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012182042
is an open question if warrant issuers purely adopt options market information about future volatility or if they … contribute to volatility discovery by their own. As a result, the options market is in a clear informational leadership with an … information share highly significant above 0.5. Nevertheless, the aggregated warrants market also contributes to volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012853678
We ask whether option prices contain information on the likelihood and direction of jumps in the underlying stock prices. Applying the partial least squares (PLS) approach to the entire surface of the implied volatilities (IV), we show that option prices can successfully predict downward jumps...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012847745