J. Muth published a paper in 1961 in Econometrica that was incoherent and inconsistent because it was based on a hybrid amalgamation of directly conflicting Subjective and Objective theories of probability. Muth's hybrid amalgamation did not exist before 1961, in 1961, or after 1961. Muth jumps...

Probability (1921), as well as its connections to the later General Theory (1936), that is correct. However, practically all of the specifics listed by Shiller, used to support his generally correct conclusions, involve either errors of omission or commission. Shiller's assessment is based on...

The SIPTA (Society for Imprecise Probability,Theory and Application) view of Keynes's contributions to imprecise probability and application form a one-to-one, onto mapping from the claims of Henry E. Kyburg to what is accepted as being what Keynes's contribution was. Thus, if one is familiar...