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Motivated by the literature on the capital asset pricing model, we decompose the uncertaintyof a typical forecaster into common and idiosyncratic uncertainty. Using individual surveydata from the Consensus Forecasts over the period of 1989-2014, we develop monthlymeasures of macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012942353
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012000947
Motivated by the literature on the capital asset pricing model, we decompose the uncertainty of a typical forecaster into common and idiosyncratic uncertainty. Using individual survey data from the Consensus Forecasts over the period of 1989-2014, we develop monthly measures of macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011748782
The auto sector is macro-critical in many European countries and constitutes one of the main supply chains in the region. Using a multi-sector and multi-country general equilibrium model, this paper presents a quantitative assessment of the impact of global pandemic-induced labor supply...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013295148
After trailing Euro Area inflation closely in the recent past, inflation in the Western Balkans has accelerated faster since early 2022 on the back of the shocks to global commodity prices, strong recovery from the pandemic, and lingering supply bottlenecks. This paper employs two complementary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014256591
Public-Private Partnerships (PPPs) are increasingly an important vehicle for several Western Balkan countries to increase investment to reduce their infrastructure gaps. While there are benefits to well-designed and implemented PPPs, they also carry a potential for large fiscal risks and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014260714
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