This paper shows that market breadth, i.e. the difference between the average number of rising stocks and the average number of falling stocks within a portfolio, is a robust predictor of future stock returns on market and industry portfolios for 64 countries for the period between 1973 and...

Securities are exposed to the return shocks of seemingly unrelated securities in common mutual fund portfolios. Shocks to firm returns mechanically affect fund returns that hold these securities, which induce investor-driven flows and rebalancing, resulting in temporary flow-induced price...

We propose a new methodology to build portfolios that hedge the economic and financial risks from climate change. Our quantity-based approach exploits information on how mutual fund managers trade in response to idiosyncratic changes in their climate risk beliefs. We exploit two types of...

This paper examines the exposures of low-volatility portfolios to various sources of systematic risk. Our analysis includes interest rate, implied volatility, liquidity, commodity, sentiment, macroeconomic, and climate risk factors. We find that low-volatility portfolios lower the exposure to...

Many traditional equity managers focus on particular subsets of the investment universe – value or growth stocks, for example – and structure their portfolios from pre-selected groups. A different approach is argued here, one that takes advantage of the widest possible equity universe and...

Rational expectation equilibrium (REE) models were considerably developed over the past 40 years. However, still relatively little has been done on their empirical applications, private signals being unobservable. We propose a new methodology, theoretically premised, to reconstitute these...

We re-examine US mutual fund performance persistence. We investigate persistence (i) using both “academic” factor models and “practitioner” index models, (ii) using decile-size recursive portfolios and also portfolios formed from smaller numbers of funds, (iii) using nonparametric...

Three concepts: stochastic discount factors, multi-beta pricing and mean-variance efficiency, are at the core of modern empirical asset pricing. This chapter reviews these paradigms and the relations among them, concentrating on conditional asset-pricing models where lagged variables serve as...

We examine whether real-time return forecasts are valuable to an investor looking to allocate their portfolio across a wide selection of countries. We expand the Sum-of-Parts (SoP) method for forecasting stock returns to an international setup by adding FX returns as an additional component. We...