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Inflation persistence or ‘inertia’ has important consequences for monetary policy. Inflation which does not get … influence on inflation persistence by its credibility and responses in the face of inflationary shocks. In this study, we use a … flexible, time-varying parameter approach to analyze inflation persistence in the United Kingdom and United States during 1880 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013218240
responses of output, inflation, labor share and the nominal interest rate to a supply shock as identified through a structural …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137972
. Macroeconomic outcomes are measured by the mean levels and the volatility of output (gaps), unemployment and inflation. We present … point inflation target appears to outperform a target range. Third, the (relative) performance of low-for-long (L4L … space is small, but if the space is larger these rules, while stabilizing inflation, may lead to more volatility in the real …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013234272
recalibrations were central in supporting inflation. For example, we find inflation would have fallen into negative territory without …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013240797
area (EA) and the US. The estimations show that until mid-2014 the ECB’s response to inflation was more forceful when … inflation was above 2% than below 2%. Since then, the ECB’s policy can be characterised as symmetric, and we quantify the … bound and a low neutral real rate, and find that it prescribes a stronger response to inflation and the output gap when …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210663
inflation targeting result in a binding lower bound one-fourth of the time as well as inflation and output exhibiting large … purchases. Makeup strategies, especially average inflation targeting with a long averaging window, perform better than inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014278603
equilibrium real rate using an estimated DSGE model for the euro area. We find that simple feedback rules that implement inflation … targeting result in a binding lower bound one-fourth of the time as well as inflation and output exhibiting large downward … purchases. Makeup strategies, especially average inflation targeting with a long averaging window, perform better than inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014355956
policy in reducing inflation. Specifically, a fiscal consolidation of 1 percent of GDP for two years and 0.5 percent in the …, while lowering inflation. It would also put the public debt-to-GDP ratio on a downward path, with the output costs reversing … risks. In the current context of elevated inflation in all euro area economies, the findings suggest two key takeaways …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014352982
This study assesses the degree of anchoring, i.e. stability, of long-term inflation expectations in the Euro area based … evolution of the entire distribution of inflation expectations in the long and medium term points to substantial downside risks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013029198
The Euro area as a whole has experienced a marked downward trend in inflation over the past decades and, concomitantly … these dynamics? To answer this question, we embed serially correlated changes in the inflation target into a DSGE model with … real and nominal frictions. The formal Bayesian estimation of the model suggests that gradual changes in the inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013141812