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intuition using Dictator Games in a lab-in-the-field experiment involving a sample of more than 1,000 individuals in Kenya and …, we compare results obtained across lab rounds in Kenya taking place right before the country’s 2013 national elections … and one eight months prior and find that selfishness is greater in the lab round more proximate to the election. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014108366
year of a gubernatorial election, the elasticity of investment to the eventual margin of victory is 0.027. Both the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011451061
year of a gubernatorial election, the elasticity of investment to the eventual margin of victory is 0.027. Both the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012993110
This paper documents that surprise election outcomes - measured as deviations between realised vote shares and expected … vote shares based on a newly constructed dataset of opinion polls and party and candidate vote shares close to election day … higher surprise is associated with a 0.37 percentage point lower year-on-year growth rate one year after the election. These …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014320160
announcements that are made during the pre-election periods, thereby leading to a lower likelihood of “tax news shocks”. We also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014353562
in tax base and rate, and for various types of taxes. We also find that the pre-election decrease in the likelihood of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014241939
We explore how public opinion polls affect candidates' campaign spending in political competition. Generally, polls lead to (more) asymmetric behavior. Under a majority rule there always exists an equilibrium in which the initially more popular candidate invests more in the campaign and thereby...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010224792
Social scientists have observed that socially desirable responding (SDR) often biases unincentivized surveys. During the 2016 presidential campaign, we conducted three list experiments to test the effect SDR has on polls of agreement with presidential candidates. We elicit a subject's agreement...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012952226
This paper investigates the impact of voter support on the representation of women in the political profession. The empirical analysis exploits two-stage elections in the United States and Italy to hold the selection of candidates constant. In two-stage elections, candidates are admitted to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012514279
suggest that social norms can change rapidly as a result of election outcomes. We explore this conjecture using a controlled … situations in which no rule has been elected. In the absence of an election, sharing is widely considered socially appropriate … appropriate. This power prevails, albeit in weaker form, even if the election is subject to controversial practices such as vote …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012438455