In this paper, we show that despite the fact that Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) processes fall within the general specification of asset price dynamics studied by Lee and Mykland (2008), the finite sample performance of their two tests for additive jumps is far from being satisfactory when the process...

The aim of this paper is to obtain the risk-neutral density of an underlying asset price as a function of its option implied volatility smile. We derive a known closed form non-parametric expression for the density and decompose it into a sum of lognormal and adjustment terms. By analyzing this...

We study the uniform convergence rates of a nonparametric estimator for a probability density function and its derivatives when the density has a known pole. Such situation arises in some structural microeconometric models, e.g. in auction, labor, and consumer search. Existing uniform...

Low probability events are overweighted in the pricing of out-of-the-money index puts and single stock calls. This behavioral bias is strongly time-varying, and is linked to equity market sentiment and higher moments of the risk-neutral density. We find that our implied volatility (IV) sentiment...

Low probability events are overweighted in the pricing of out-of-the-money index puts and single stock calls. We find that this behavioral bias is strongly time-varying, linked to equity market sentiment, and higher moments of the risk-neutral density. An implied volatility (IV) sentiment...

We provide a new method to derive the state price density per unit probability based on option prices and GARCH model. We derive the risk neutral distribution using the result in Breeden and Litzenberger (1978) and the historical density adapting the GARCH model of Barone-Adesi, Engle, and...