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This paper estimates the interaction between monetary- and fiscal policy using a structural VAR model with time-varying parameters. For demand and supply shocks, the two policies are estimated to be complementary, while for monetary and fiscal policies shocks the two policies act as substitutes....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011990029
This paper investigates how monetary policy interventions by the European Central Bank and the Federal Reserve affect the stock market perception of bank systemic risk. In a first step, we identify monetary policy shocks using a structural VAR approach by exploiting the changes of the volatility...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011635095
We identify structural vector autoregressions using narrative sign restrictions. Narrative sign restrictions constrain the structural shocks and the historical decomposition around key historical events, ensuring that they agree with the established narrative account of these episodes. Using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011570683
To what extent are US and Euro Area (EA) inflation expectations determined by foreign shocks? How do transmissions change during the great recession and European sovereign debt crisis? We address these questions with a flexible structural VAR model of weekly financial markets’ inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011458367
commodity) with little or no attention to food price shock. In this study, however, the effect of food price shocks on some … selected macroeconomic indicators is examined, in addition to oil price shock using the structural autoregressive (SVAR) model … found to be more profound compared with food price shock. Further evidence identified the exchange rate channel as the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013348340
We disentangle the effects of monetary policy announcements on real economic variables into an interest rate shock … component and a central bank information shock component. We identify both components using changes in interest rate futures and … that a contractionary interest rate shock appreciates the dollar, increases the excess bond premium, and leads to a decline …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012295246
Using business survey data on German manufacturing firms, this paper provides tests for hypotheses formulated in capital market imperfection theories that predict distributional effects in the transmission of monetary policy. The business conditions of small firms are found to be somewhat more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011449239
responses of key macroeconomic variables to a monetary policy shock. We split our sample of countries into two disjoint groups … according to the impact of the monetary policy shock on real house prices. Our results suggest that in countries with a more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011389092
Monetary policy shocks have a large impact on aggregate stock market returns in narrow event windows around press releases by the Federal Open Market Committee. We use spatial autoregressions to decompose the overall effect of monetary policy shocks into a direct (demand) effect and an indirect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011657891
data on monetary policy shock estimates for 29 economies obtained from more than 280 monetary models in the literature …. Consistent with the predictions from our hypothesis we find: Monetary policy shock estimates obtained from New Keynesian DSGE … contamination is more severe for economies that are more susceptible to financial spillovers in the data; and the shock estimates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011664579