base - a two-wave pre- and post-election panel survey of German voters whose first wave was designed as a rolling cross … mattered in the 2005 German parliamentary election in various ways. Combining aggregate-level time-series analyses with … of the election were strongly influenced by combined party shares reported by polling news. In particular, this pertained …

government. An austerity package worth 1% of GDP, carried out mostly through tax hikes, reduces the vote share of the leader …

to the divisive 2016 U.S. presidential election. Exploiting the exogenous component of rising import competition by China …

We study a model in which voters choose between two candidates on the basis of both ideology and competence. While the … ideology of the candidates is commonly known, voters are imperfectly informed about competence. Voter preferences, however, are … such that it is a dominant strategy to vote according to ideology alone. When voting is compulsory, the candidate of the …