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paper is to investigate whether following the Tunisian stock market opening, both the analyst forecast accuracy and the … increasing with time. Second, we find evidence that earnings expectations are not mainly based on analyst forecast in the first … (2010–2015) as analyst forecast better explain returns and exhibit greater relative information content. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011882305
' earnings forecasts. We show that measures of prior consensus and individual analyst forecast pessimism are predictive of both … with a relatively high probability of forecast pessimism experience significantly higher announcement returns than those … difficulty investors have in identifying differences in expected forecast pessimism. Overall, we conclude that market prices do …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012937538
While a large literature has examined analysts’ earnings forecasts or stock recommendations in isolation, there is little research on the effectiveness with which analysts translate their earnings forecasts into recommendations (referred to as translational effectiveness). This study provides...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014224426
We address whether analysts bias earnings forecast revisions and convey the bias using forecast revision consistency, i ….e., the extent to which analyst reports with earnings forecast revisions include stock recommendation and target price … revisions consistent in sign with the earnings forecast revisions, the sign of which is the sign of earnings forecast revision …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014359306
Two ex-ante variables are introduced to characterize the analysts' biased behavior, namely the analysts' disagreement and self-selection in analysts' earnings forecasts. The study investigates the impact of the analysts' disagreement and self-selection on the stock returns. A theoretical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014330637
Previous research finds that historical seasonal earnings rank negatively predicts stock returns surrounding earnings announcements (EAs) in China’s A-share markets. We examine whether management earnings forecasts (MEFs) help reduce the stock return seasonality associated with earnings...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014255146
reflect the predictable component of analyst forecast errors. This evidence conflicts with conclusions in prior research … characteristic and analyst forecasts predicts future analyst forecast errors, forecast revisions, and changes in buy …/sell recommendations. I document abnormal returns to a strategy that sorts firms based on predicted forecast errors, consistent with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094105
in the next quarter. Our oil-response forecast strategy earns especially high returns in periods that follow large …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012852476
The purpose of this paper is to analyse the predictability of earnings information before the quarterly disclosure date. Two categories of firms are contrasted: the firms that announce better quarterly earnings than the prior period and the firms that do not. The paper uses a sample of 67...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013183853
uncertainty, as reflected by greater timeliness with no loss in forecast accuracy. In contrast, analysts have greater difficulty … dealing with heightened market uncertainty, as both timeliness and forecast accuracy decline …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010250690