A computational technique borrowed from the physical sciences is introduced to obtain accurate closed-form approximations for the transition probability of arbitrary diffusion processes. Within the path integral framework the same technique allows one to obtain remarkably good approximations of...

Using the path-integral formalism we develop an accurate and easy-to-compute semi-analytical approximation to transition probabilities and Arrow-Debreu densities for arbitrary diffusions. We illustrate the accuracy of the method by presenting results for the Black-Karasinski model for which the...

We demonstrate how machine learning based recommender systems can be effectively employed by market makers to filter the information embedded in Requests for Quote (RFQs) to identify the set of clients most likely to be interested in a given bond, or, conversely, the set of bonds that are most...

In this paper we propose a novel, analytically tractable, one-factor stochastic model for the dynamics of credit default swap (CDS) spreads and their returns, which we refer to as the spread-return mean-reverting (SRMR) model. The SRMR model can be seen as a hybrid of the Black-Karasinski model...

We show how Adjoint Algorithmic Differentiation can be combined with the so-called Pathwise Derivative and Likelihood Ratio Method to construct efficient Monte Carlo estimators of second order price sensitivities of derivative portfolios. We demonstrate with a numerical example how the proposed...

We show how Adjoint Algorithmic Differentiation (AAD) allows an extremely efficient calculation of correlation Risk of option prices computed with Monte Carlo simulations. A key point in the construction is the use of binning to simultaneously achieve computational efficiency and accurate...

We present an accurate and easy-to-compute approximation of zero-coupon bonds and Arrow-Debreu (AD) prices for the Black-Karasinski model of interest rates or default intensities. Through this procedure, dubbed exponent expansion, AD prices are obtained as a power series in time to maturity....

We present an accurate and easy-to-compute approximation of zero-coupon bonds and Arrow–Debreu (AD) prices for the Black–Karasinski (BK) model of interest rates or default intensities. Through this procedure, dubbed exponent expansion, AD prices are obtained as a power series in time to...

We describe a simple Importance Sampling strategy for Monte Carlo simulations based on a least squares optimization procedure. With several numerical examples, we show that such Least Squares Importance Sampling (LSIS) provides efficiency gains comparable to the state of the art techniques, when...