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even after controlling for market, size, book-to-market, and idiosyncratic volatility effects. We observe that stocks with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013023627
We propose a nonparametric method to study which characteristics provide incremental information for the cross section of expected returns. We use the adaptive group LASSO to select characteristics and to estimate how they affect expected returns nonparametrically. Our method can handle a large...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011888693
The term structure of equity return volatility fluctuates across time. It affects the term structure of equity returns … through the volatility feedback effect and explains the cyclicality of equity return term structure. By analysing the dividend … strip futures, this paper finds that volatility feedback effects of dividend strips exist and decrease with the horizon …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014238985
in volatility. The economic rationale for the effect is still controversial. The competing explanations have different … implications for the origin of the relationship: Are volatility changes induced by index movements, or inversely, does volatility … implied volatility and index return in Germany based on Granger causality tests and impulse-response functions. Our dataset …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014257347
degree of volatility risk in stock and index returns, where we characterize volatility risk by the extent to which … forecasting errors in realized volatility are substantive. Even though returns standardized by ex post quadratic variation … distribution of returns. Explicitly modeling this volatility risk is fundamental. We propose a dually asymmetric realized …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010366935
We find that interest rate variance risk premium (IRVRP) - the difference between implied and realized variances of interest rates - is a strong predictor of U.S. Treasury bond returns of maturities ranging between one and ten years for return horizons up to six months. IRVRP is not subsumed by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014433708
accounting for important features of bond return models such as time varying parameters, volatility dynamics, and unspanned macro … risk-adjusted portfolio returns after accounting for estimation error and model uncertainty, as evidenced by the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972962
volatility over the benchmark rational expectations case and exactly matches the standard deviation of consumption. Finally, the … model generates time varying volatility consistent with the data on quarterly equity returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013054127
This paper documents law of one price violations in equity volatility markets. While tightly linked by no …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012391498
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011533825