Showing 61 - 70 of 313,253
We show that the call-put implied volatility spread (IVS) outperforms many well-known predictors of the U.S. equity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012822891
This paper investigates the predictive ability of international volatility risk for the daily aggregate Chinese stock … market returns. We employ the innovations in implied volatility indices of seven major international markets as our … international volatility risk proxies. We find that international volatility risks are negatively associated with contemporaneous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972144
Theory suggests a relationship between both volatility of volatility, variance risk premium, and the equity risk … premium. We empirically investigate the relationship between volatility of volatility and the equity risk premium, and the … relationship between the variance risk premium and the equity risk premium. We find that volatility of volatility alone explains 5 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013035199
futures and options to hedge their exposure to commodity price and volatility risk; speculators provide liquidity and ask for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013035319
This paper investigates the role of volatility risk on stock return predictability specified on two global financial … volatility forecasting measures on future stock returns in four different periods (bear and bull markets). First we find clear … and robust empirical evidence that the implied idiosyncratic volatility is the best stock return predictor for every sub …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012999962
I generalize the long-run risks (LRR) model of Bansal and Yaron (2004) by incorporating recursive smooth ambiguity aversion preferences from Klibanoff et al. (2005, 2009) and time-varying ambiguity. Relative to the Bansal-Yaron model, the generalized LRR model is as tractable but more flexible...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012617667
Using firm-level option and stock data, we examine the predictive ability of option-implied volatility measures … non-zero risk-adjusted returns on arbitrage portfolios formed on the call-put implied volatility spread, implied … volatility skew, and realized-implied volatility spread. Firm-level cross-sectional regressions show that, the implied volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012905061
We develop a daily measure of average stock variance and study whether it can predict market returns one day ahead. Using a time-invariant prediction model we find a robust predictive relation between these variables which cannot be used to profitably time the market. A closer look reveals that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012906043
leverage effect and the volatility feedback effect. We stress the importance of distinguishing between realized volatility and … implied volatility, and find that implied volatilities are essential for assessing the volatility feedback effect. The … leverage hypothesis asserts that return shocks lead to changes in conditional volatility, while the volatility feedback effect …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128856
This paper studies the intertemporal relation between U.S. volatility risk and international equity risk premia. We … show that a common volatility risk factor constructed from the option-implied U.S. forward variances positively and … robust to the inclusion of existing domestic and U.S. predictors and alternative U.S. volatility risk proxies. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014236052