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commonly used as a measure of excess demand in assessing inflation pressures. To estimate these unobserved variables, a popular …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012445291
The persistence property of inflation is an important issue for not only economists, but, especially for central banks …, given that the degree of inflation persistence determines the extent to which central banks can control inflation. Further …, not only is the level of inflation persistence that is important in economic analyses, but also the question of whether …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013045937
1851-2013 by estimating a multivariate ARFIMA-FIGARCH model (with the unemployment rate and inflation as explanatory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010367157
In this paper we investigate the behavior of inflation persistence in the United States. To model inflation we estimate … varying persistence, which not only distinguishes between changes in the dynamics of inflation and its volatility, but it also … allows for feedback from nominal uncertainty to inflation. Our empirical results suggest that inflation persistence in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012843786
We propose a noncausal autoregressive model with time-varying parameters, and apply it to U.S. postwar inflation. The … model fits the data well, and the results suggest that inflation persistence follows from future expectations. Persistence … curve indicate that current inflation also depends on past inflation although future expectations dominate. The implied …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013084430
the state of inflation. First, the estimation shows that the short- and long-run pass-throughs are higher, and the price … investigates commodity price pass-through into inflation in the low and high inflation regimes in Japan. By estimating the … threshold autoregressive model that considers past inflation rates, I find a nonlinear relationship between the pass-through and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014347769
structural changes would provide a good empirical description of the classical model of inflation for Spain over this long period …. The principle testable implication is that money growth and inflation are cointegrated, ruling out speculative bubbles in … the Spanish inflation rates. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015166985
-varying inflation persistence as an important issue for monetary policy. We determine not only the location and significance of breaks … in persistence, but also the number of breaks. Only one significant break in U.S. inflation persistence (measured by the … integration ; break in persistence ; unknown break point ; inflation dynamics …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009382958
The estimation of inflation volatility is important to Central Banks as it guides their policy initiatives for … Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) family with a view to providing a parsimonious approximation to the dynamics of Nigeria's inflation volatility … and food CPI, implying that the impacts of inflation shocks on their volatilities die away very slowly. However, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011476231
This paper examines the degree of persistence in UK inflation by applying long-memory methods to historical data that … evolution over time. On the whole, the evidence suggests that the degree of persistence of UK inflation has been relatively … stable following the Bretton Woods period, despite the adoption of different monetary regimes. The estimation of an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011815117