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them. I find that negative management forecast surprises lead to a –5.9% abnormal return around the forecast and a 1 ….9% abnormal return and a –1.7% correction. The level of the stock market overreaction varies with the forecast and firm … characteristics, but the marginal impact remains the same: a 1% change in the stock market reaction around the forecast is associated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013063187
forecasts. Yet bias does not necessarily invalidate a forecast, nor does it impinge on its relative quality. We find that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012967143
Previous research finds that, owing to the representativeness heuristic bias, earnings seasonal rank negatively predicts stock returns surrounding earnings announcements (EAs) in China’s A-share markets. We examine whether management earnings forecasts (MEFs) help alleviate the stock return...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013405828
Two ex-ante variables are introduced to characterize the analysts' biased behavior, namely the analysts' disagreement and self-selection in analysts' earnings forecasts. The study investigates the impact of the analysts' disagreement and self-selection on the stock returns. A theoretical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014330637
We develop a simple error-correction model, based on a well known theory espoused by Benjamin Graham and David Dodd, and others, which presumes stock returns tend to restore an equilibrium relationship between the forecasted earnings yield on common stocks and the yield on bonds. The estimation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014169089
In this paper, we examine analyst annual earnings forecast accuracy and dispersion for firms undertaking SEOs … underwriter for the SEO. We also study the change of forecast dispersion surrounding the filing of SEOs. Our sample includes all … firm and analyst characteristics. We relate forecast accuracy to analyst characteristics and to whether an affiliated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094976
We study the out-of-sample predictability of the returns of pan-European harmonized mutual funds that apply hedge fund-like investment strategies (“Alternative UCITS”). Given these funds' higher liquidity, investors could exploit relevant information much easier than for hedge funds, and use...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012901796
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012668051
the magnitude and direction of analysts' forecast revisions are positively associated with unexplained CEO compensation …, however. Analysts' forecast errors measured months after the DEF14A release are associated with past unexplained compensation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012898620
forecast accuracy, and we show that teams are less accurate than individual analysts in general and their own individual team … team members in particular. Consistent with the notion that teams trade-off forecast accuracy for timeliness to comply with … a market research demand, we show that team forecast revisions are associated with larger market responses than those of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012710007