Showing 1 - 10 of 237,456
This paper studies the information content of the S&P 500 and VIX markets on the volatility of the S&P 500 returns. We … risk-neutral distributions as well as the term structure of volatility smiles and of variance risk premia. We find that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011410916
Sellers of variance swaps earn time-varying risk premia for their exposure to realized variance, the level of variance swap rates, and the slope of the variance swap curve. To measure risk premia, we estimate a dynamic term structure model that decomposes variance swap rates into expected...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011523781
The illiquidity of long-maturity options has made it difficult to study the term structures of option spanning portfolios. This paper proposes a new estimation and inference framework for these option-implied term structures that addresses long-maturity illiquidity. By building a sieve estimator...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010459730
This paper provides empirical evidence that volatility markets are integrated through the time-varying term structure … of variance risk premia. These risk premia predict the returns from selling volatility for different horizons, maturities …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011904683
of the parameters driving the risk-neutral conditional distributions and term structure of volatility, thereby enhancing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010256394
This paper estimates the term-structure of volatility risk premia for the stock market. Realized variance term premia … are increasing in systematic risk and predict variance swap returns. Implied volatility term premia are decreasing in risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012851215
We propose a novel factor model for option returns. Option exposures are estimated nonparametrically and factor risk premia can vary nonlinearly with states. The model is estimated using regressions, with minimal assumptions on factor and option return dynamics. Using index options, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013213854
The paper studies estimation of implied volatility and the impact of the choice of the corresponding risk-free rate … proxy. We suggest to analyze the implied volatility and the risk-free rate proxy inferred in conjunction from the observed … to narrower volatility spread, or the difference between implied and realized volatilities …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013034123
volatility for a large set of US companies. It is shown that accounting for the long-run equilibrium dynamic between these …'s assets and volatility is developed. The proposed model allows to significantly reduce the pricing errors in predicting credit … when regressing a set of explanatory variables onto the spread changes. Once credit spreads, leverage and volatility are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012837053
oil price volatility and oil return predictability. Using 25 years of historical data, we document economically large tail … uncertainty measures, suggesting that time-varying oil price fears are an additional source of oil price volatility and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011778000