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Naive asset allocation and other ad-hoc techniques are commonly practiced by fund managers in the industry. Such strategies, however, are deemed mean-variance (MV) sub-optimal according to modern portfolio theory. Nonetheless, taking estimation risk into considerations, such practices are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012870004
In this paper, we build estimation error in mean returns into the mean-variance (MV) portfolio theory under the assumption that returns on individual assets follow a joint normal distribution. We derive the conditional sampling distribution of the MV portfolio along with its mean and risk return...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972754
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This article contributes to reproducible research in portfolio selection using R. In particular, we evaluate several portfolio rules used in the literature by utilizing different publicly available data sets. The primary analysis builds on a recent empirical design by Kan et al. (2022) (KWZ),...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014255043
AI/ML models are used for many financial applications ranging from portfolio selection to efficient credit allocation. However, the drawback to applying these models in practice is that performance (i.e., predictive power) is generally inversely related to model complexity. In this chapter, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014255357
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This article discusses the portfolio selection problem from a Bayesian perspective. In doing so, I first provide an overview of the portfolio problem and motivate the decision-making process from an expected utility point of view. Then, I demonstrate the analytical solution to the problem and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013219838
A large body of literature has tried to identify the relative information contributions of different characteristics - jointly or in isolation - to the cross-section of stock returns. These characteristics generally cover three data sources: market, fundamentals, and analyst recommendations. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013311569
It is well known that estimated mean-variance portfolios deliver, on average, poor out-of-sample performance. A lesser-known fact that we characterize in this paper is that their out-of-sample performance is also very volatile. Using our analytical characterization of out-of-sample performance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013226237
The increasing role of social media in financial markets has encouraged retail traders to "buy the dip" (BTD). We present a simple paradigm describing this strategy in terms of dip size and purchase smoothing. The empirical investigation considers different specifications and testing periods....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013229592