Increasing evidence points towards the episodic emergence of pockets with extreme return persistence. This notion refers to intraday periods of non-trivial duration, for which stock returns are highly positively autocorrelated. Such episodes include, but are not limited to, gradual jumps and...

We study the estimation of (joint) moments of microstructure noise based on high frequency data. The estimation is conducted under a nonparametric setting, which allows the underlying price process to have jumps, the observation times to be irregularly spaced, \emph{and} the noise to be...

We consider a setting where market microstructure noise is a parametric function of trading information, possibly with a remaining noise component. Assuming that the remaining noise is $O_p(1/\sqrt{n})$, allowing irregular times and jumps, we show that we can estimate the parameters at rate $n$,...

Latent factor model estimation typically relies on either using domain knowledge to manually pick several observed covariates as factor proxies, or purely conducting multivariate analysis such as principal component analysis. However, the former approach may suffer from the bias while the latter...

We provide a new methodology to forecast the equity premium. We show, theoretically and empirically, that our forecast first-order stochastically dominates the historical average and incurs a better mean squared forecast error than the historical average. Our forecast combines the low variance...

We establish a framework to study the factor structure in stock variance under a high-frequency and high-dimensional setup. We prove the consistency of conducting principal component analysis on realized variances in estimating the factor structure. Moreover, based on strong empirical evidence,...

Portfolio allocation with gross-exposure constraint is an effective method to increase the efficiency and stability of selected portfolios among a vast pool of assets, as demonstrated in Fan et. al. (2008b). The required high-dimensional volatility matrix can be estimated by using high frequency...

When estimating integrated volatilities based on high-frequency data, simplifying assumptions are usually imposed on the relationship between the observation times and the price process. In this paper, we establish a central limit theorem for the Realized Volatility in a general endogenous time...

We consider the estimation of integrated covariance (ICV) matrices of high dimensional diffusion processes based on high frequency observations. We start by studying the most commonly used estimator, the realized covariance (RCV) matrix. We show that in the high dimensional case when the...