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We test whether the post-forecast revision drift is mainly attributable to investors' underreaction to industry-wide earnings news conveyed by analysts' forecast revisions. We find a large drift associated with industry-wide earnings news but no drift associated with firm-specific earnings news....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115317
We examine the relative accuracy of management and analyst forecasts of annual EPS. We predict and find that analysts' information advantage resides at the macroeconomic level. They provide more accurate earnings forecasts than management when a firm's fortunes move in concert with macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013107227
Burgstahler and Eames (2003) present evidence that analysts commonly anticipate earnings management to avoid small losses, but often incorrectly predict its occurrence. Here we consider whether the market's behavior mimics that of analysts. Our results suggest that analysts exhibit more forecast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013108318
We provide archival evidence on how a particular type of supplementary information affects the credibility of management earnings forecasts. Managers often provide detailed forecasts of specific income statement line items to shed light on how they plan to achieve their bottom-line earnings...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013067301
We study 145 large listed Australian firms to explore the impact of IFRS adoption on the properties of analysts' forecasts and the role of firm disclosure about IFRS impact. We find that analyst forecast accuracy improves and there is no significant change in dispersion in the adoption year,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150625
Over the past 12 years, financial analysts across the world have been optimistically wrong with their 12-month earnings forecasts by 25.3%. This study may be the first of its kind to assess analyst earnings forecast accuracy at all listed companies across the globe, covering 70 countries. A...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012959862
Equity analysts are often hired by firms they cover. I document the extent to which this revolving door phenomenon impairs analysts' independence. I do this by examining the presence of biased research reports issued during the year before analysts are employed by a firm they cover. I find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012904651
Earnings expectation aggregates all available information. However, investors with limited attention are unlikely to behave in such rational fashions. For example, salient information is overweighed in the expectation. This bias could be exploited by sophisticated market participants like...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012897596
This study presents evidence suggesting that investors do not fully unravel predictable pessimism in sell-side analysts' earnings forecasts. We show that measures of prior consensus and individual analyst forecast pessimism are predictive of both the sign of firms' earnings surprises and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012937538
We examine analysts' GAAP earnings forecasts and illustrate their usefulness in two prominent research settings. First, we find that the availability of GAAP forecasts has increased dramatically since 2003, and they are now available for most I/B/E/S-covered firms. Next, we utilize GAAP...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012937955