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Behavioral Finance - Asset Prices Predictability, Equity Premium Puzzle, Volatility Puzzle : The Rational Finance Approach

Rachev, Svetlozar T. - 2020

In this paper we address three main objections of behavioral finance to the theory of rational finance, considered as “anomalies” the theory of rational finance cannot explain: (i) Predictability of asset returns; (ii) The Equity Premium; (iii) The Volatility Puzzle. We offer resolutions of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842392

Do Five Asset Pricing Anomalies Share a Common Mispricing Factor? Multifaceted Empirical Analyses of Failure Risk Proxies, External Financing, and Stock Returns

Ogden, Joseph P. - 2010

Assuming that risk premiums are determined by failure risk, we present a stylized model of interactions among risk-proxy variables, external financing, and stock returns in which a common mispricing factor, involving operating profit and external financing, drives the following five asset...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013147129

Forecasting Stock Market Returns by Summing the Frequency-Decomposed Parts

Faria, Gonçalo - 2017

We generalize the Ferreira and Santa-Clara (2011) sum-of-the-parts method for forecasting stock market returns. Rather than summing the parts of stock returns, we suggest summing some of the frequency-decomposed parts. The proposed method signi cantly improves upon the original sum-of-the-parts...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012967229

Expected Stock Returns When Interest Rates Are Low

Blitz, David - 2022

The equity risk premium is generally considered to be a reward that investors earn on top of the prevailing risk-free return, implying that, all else equal, total expected stock returns should increase with the level of the risk-free return. We examine whether this notion is true using long-term...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013295489

CEO-speeches and stock returns

Bannier, Christina E.; Pauls, Thomas; Walter, Andreas - 2017

We analyze the market reaction to the sentiment of the CEO speech at the Annual General Meeting (AGM). As the AGM is typically preceded by several information disclosures, the CEO speech may be expected to contribute only marginally to investors' decision-making. Surprisingly, however, we...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011755953

Innovative Originality, Profitability, and Stock Returns

Hirshleifer, David A. - 2020

We propose that innovative originality is a valuable organizational resource, and that owing to limited investor attention and skepticism of complexity, greater innovative originality may be undervalued. We find that firms' innovative originality strongly predicts higher, more persistent, and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012857235

Sentiment and uncertainty

Birru, Justin; Young, Trevor - 2020

Sentiment should exhibit its strongest effects on asset prices at times when valuations are most subjective. Consistent with this hypothesis, we show that a one-standard-deviation increase in aggregate uncertainty amplifies the predictive ability of sentiment for market returns by two to four...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012216707

Textual Sentiment, Option Characteristics, and Stock Return Predictability

Chen, Cathy - 2018

We distill sentiment from a huge assortment of NASDAQ news articles by means of machine learning methods and examine its predictive power in single-stock option markets and equity markets. We provide evidence that single-stock options react to contemporaneous sentiment. Next, examining return...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012915186

Can a Machine Learn from Behavioral Biases? Evidence from Stock Return Predictability of Deep Learning Models

Byun, Suk Joon; Cho, Sangheum; Kim, Da-Hea - 2022

We examine how the return predictability of deep learning models varies with stocks’ vulnerability to investors’ behavioral biases. Using an extensive list of anomaly variables, we find that the long-short strategy based on deep learning signals generates greater returns for stocks that are...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013302679

Analysts' disagreement, self-selection, and stock returns

Wu, Liang; Long, Yunshen; Li, Wenyue; Wu, Bingyan - In: Journal of business economics and management 24 (2023) 1, pp. 37-53

before the actual earnings announcement. The second one is the optimistic bias channel. The optimistic bias channel means … that the stock is overpriced if the investors do not correct the analysts' bias. The self-selection is negatively … correlated with the stock return through the optimistic bias channel as more self-selection means more optimistic bias as low …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014330637

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