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More than fifty years ago, Friedman and Schwartz examined historical data for the United States and found evidence of pro-cyclical movements in the money stock, which led corresponding movements in output. We find similar correlations in more recent data; these appear most clearly when Divisia...
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We explore empirically models of aggregate fluctuations with two basic ingredients: agents form anticipations about the future based on noisy sources of information; these anticipations affect spending and output in the short run. our objective is to separate fluctuations due to actual changes...
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unemployment in South Africa. Precisely, the findings show that a strikes shock has a positive transient impact on non-agriculture … 1982-2018. We find empirical support for a strikes shock's transitory negative impact on the country's output growth. In … non-agriculture employment. These findings reveal that strikers resume work with unfulfilled wage increase demands. Hence …
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