This study develops a timely and unbiased measure of expected credit losses. The expected rate of credit losses … (ExpectedRCL) is a linear combination of various non-discretionary credit risk-related measures disclosed by banks. ExpectedRCL … performs substantially better than net charge-offs, realized credit losses, and fair value of loans in predicting credit losses …

Estimating expected credit losses on banks' portfolios is difficult. The issue has become of increasing interest to …-year-ahead expected rate of credit losses (ExpectedRCL) that combines various measures of credit risk disclosed by banks. It uses cross …-sectional analyses to obtain coefficients for estimating each period's measure of expected credit losses. ExpectedRCL substantially …

The Current Expected Credit Loss (CECL) framework represents a new approach for calculating the allowance for credit … losses. Credit cards are the most common form of revolving consumer credit and are likely to present conceptual and modeling … challenges during CECL implementation. We look back at nine years of account level credit card data, starting with 2008, over a …

The Current Expected Credit Loss (CECL) framework represents a new approach for calculating the allowance for credit … losses. Credit cards are the most common form of revolving consumer credit and are likely to present conceptual and modeling … challenges during CECL implementation. We look back at nine years of account-level credit card data, starting with 2008, over a …

institutional feature of the Italian credit market that generates a sharp discontinuity in the allocation of comparable firms into … credit risk categories. Using loan-level data, we show that during the expansionary phase of the cycle, banks relax lending … the cycle, the abrupt tightening of lending standards leads to the exclusion of substandard firms from credit. These firms …

of lenders not observing a borrower's true credit score but only seeing an aggregate credit category. We find that … borrower's credit score. This inference is economically significant and allows lenders to lend at a 140-basis-points lower rate … for borrowers with (unobserved to lenders) better credit scores within a credit category. While lenders infer the most …

Banks increasingly recognize the need to measure and manage the credit risk of their loans on a portfolio basis. We … for banks to systematically identify regional and industrial credit concentrations and reduce the detected concentrations … through diversification. In recent years, the development of markets for credit securitization and credit derivatives has …

Theory of financial intermediation gives contradicting answers to the question whether …

-religiosity counties have higher credit ratings and lower debt costs. The impact of religiosity is stronger for firms with greater …