In this paper, we extend the variance risk premium (VRP) in Bollerslev and Tauchen and Zhou (2009) into the moment spreads. Rather than analyzing the times-series market returns predictability, we newly investigate the predictability of market moment spreads in the cross section of expected...

We show theoretically and empirically that no-arbitrage pricing magnifies the importance of noise when replication requires offsetting positions with similar fundamentals. This occurs because fundamentals are hedged, while any errors in the underlying asset prices are levered and amplified....

I review 150 textbooks on corporate finance and valuation published between 1979 and 2009 by authors such as Brealey, Myers, Copeland, Damodaran, Merton, Ross, Bruner, Bodie, Penman, Arzac… and find that their recommendations regarding the equity premium range from 3% to 10%, and that 51 books...

We examine whether the predictability and business-cycle dependence of excess returns in US Treasuries can be more naturally explained in terms of state-dependent risk premia or a specific cognitive bias (representativeness). We show that the extremely parsimonious cognitive-bias model in...

This paper documents a significant risk premium for financial intermediation risk in the cross section of equity returns. Firms that borrow from highly levered financial intermediaries have on average 4% higher expected returns relative to firms with low-leverage lenders. This difference cannot...

This paper estimates and tests the smooth ambiguity model of Klibanoff, Marinacci, and Mukerji (2005, 2009) based on stock market data. We introduce a novel methodology to estimate the conditional expectation which characterizes the impact of a decision maker's ambiguity attitude on asset...