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This paper examines long-term price overreactions in various financial markets (commodities, US stock market and FOREX). First, t-tests are carried out for overreactions as a statistical phenomenon. Second, a trading robot approach is applied to test the profitability of two alternative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010467097
This paper examines short-term price reactions after one-day abnormal price changes and whether they create exploitable profit opportunities in various financial markets. A t-test confirms the presence of overreactions and also suggests that there is an "inertia anomaly", i.e. after an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010438074
We examine the roles of rational and behavioural factors in explaining long-run premiums/discounts on closed-end funds, using evidence on equity funds from the US and UK. Although the processes by which fund prices converge towards long-run premiums or discounts are similar in the two countries,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128561
I study the effects of aversion to risk and ambiguity (uncertainty in the sense of Knight (1921)) on the value of the market portfolio when investors receive public information that they find difficult to link to fundamentals and hence treat as ambiguous. I show that small changes in public...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013134524
This paper revisits what we know about the risk of stocks thanks to a non-US long term database. French stock market risk observed over the last 150 years, presents a long-term rise. Despite peace and economic stability, market risk has never converged to levels seen pre-1914. Reversely, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115417
Empirical evidence indicates that trades by institutional investors have sizable effects on asset prices, generating phenomena such as index effects, asset-class effects and others. It is difficult to explain such phenomena within standard representative-agent asset pricing models. In this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116286
In this paper, we develop a theoretical model to explain the well-established empirical regularities that have been documented in the literature on closed-end funds (CEFs). In the presence of heterogeneous beliefs and short-sale constraints, both the CEF price and the price of the assets that it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118505
We analyze optimal monetary policy and its implications for asset prices, when aggregate demand has inertia and responds to asset prices with a lag. If there is a negative output gap, the central bank optimally overshoots aggregate asset prices (asset prices are initially pushed above their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013093040
-based proxies for both, I find novel results that are consistent with theory. Stocks that co-vary negatively with increased investor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012953820
theory of asset price bubbles. This is a rational asset pricing model that is shown to be consistent with the existing … research for their resolution. This bubble theory also applies equally well to understanding discounts and premiums on exchange …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960808